Physical and Transition Risks Dashboard (July 2025)

Live integration of real-world financial and climate risk data for advanced scenario analysis.
All data as of July 2025; projections grounded in scientific/math models and historical evidence.

$145B 2025 Insured Global Losses (Extreme Weather)[19]
61.3% 2025 Market Share for Physical Risk Analysis Services[8]
CSRD / SEC Key 2025 Regulatory Reporting Deadlines[9][15]
+1.5°C Avg. Temp. Threshold Breached 2024/25[16]
$320B Total 2024 Global Disaster Losses (Economic)[5]
$2,328T Projected Global Losses (2025-2100), BAU Scenario[10]
20M+/yr Annual Average Climate Displacements[5]

Physical Risk Impact (Top 5 Most Affected Countries 2022)

CountryPeople Affected (1993-2022)Deaths$ Losses (USD, 1993-2022)
Dominica100,000+2,500+$4.2T
ChinaMillions10,000+$1.5T
Honduras300,000+7,000+$700B
Pakistan (2022)30M+1,739$15B
Belize (2022)112,00082$120M
Source: Germanwatch CRI 2025[16]

2024–2025: Largest Billion-Dollar Climate Disasters

EventRegionLosses (USD)Year
U.S. WildfiresUSA (West)$26.8B2024
European FloodsGermany, Benelux$15.1B2024
Asia HeatwavesIndia, Pakistan$9.3B2025
Hurricane IdaliaSoutheastern US$11.5B2024
Australia DroughtAustralia$7.9B2024-2025
Sources: Munich Re, NOAA, ClimaMeter, WMO[5][17][19]

Transition Risk: Sectoral Decarbonization Progress (2025)

Source: PwC State of Decarbonization 2025[18]

2025: Global Carbon Pricing and Sectoral Exposure

JurisdictionEffective Carbon Price% GHG CoveredTrend
EU ETS (including CBAM)€85/t48%Ratcheting Up[7][14]
China ETS¥56/t (≈$8)40%Growing
U.S. (California/Washington)$43/t5%Steady
SingaporeS$45/t80%+80% Y/Y
Canada (Federal)CA$65/t85%Steady
Sources: World Bank, Trellis, EU[7][14]

Transition Risk: Financial Impact by Sector (2025 Analysis)

SectorTransition Premium (2025-2029, bps)Exposure to LitigationNotable Regulatory Shift
Energy+38Very HighEU CBAM/SEC, Court Mandates
Industry+26HighStandalone Scope 3 Rules
Agriculture+12MediumNew EU Green Criteria
Transport+23RisingNet Zero ZEV Mandates
Buildings+10LowLocal ESG Codes
Sources: AEW, WEF, IEA[16][15]

Macroeconomic Impact: Extreme Weather Events (Australia)

Source: FIU Extreme Weather Study 2025[11]

Yearly Billion-Dollar Climate Disasters (Global, 2019–2025)

Source: NOAA, Munich Re, WMO[5][17][19]

2025: Notable Regulatory and Disclosure Deadlines

  • EU: CSRD in force (Jan) - Sustainability reports and ESRS-aligned data required for 50,000+ firms[9][15]
  • EU: EU Taxonomy Expanded (Jul) - Agriculture, Manufacturing, ICT activities covered[9][17]
  • US: SEC Climate Disclosure Rules (from March) – Scope 1+2 emission data, scenario analysis, and audit mandates begin[9][15]
  • Global: TCFD/ISSB Integration - IFRS S1 & S2, GRI and ESRS increasingly interoperable[9]

2025: Climate Litigation in Focus

  • Record Cases: Over 2,800 active climate-related court cases globally; up by 15% vs. 2024[6][13][20]
  • Scope: Expanding suits vs. professional services and commercial banks financing high-emission activities
  • Outcomes: Apex (supreme/constitutional) courts increasingly setting global precedents on fiduciary and disclosure duties
  • Example: “Greenwashing” verdicts against three Fortune 500 firms in EU during 2025[6]
  • US Class Actions: EPA, Green Bank, and federal civil servant suits following regulatory reversals[11]
Sources: Grantham Institute, Columbia Sabin Center, Trellis[6][13][11][20]

Planetary Solvency: Long-Term Systemic Physical Risk (2070-2090)

50% loss in global GDP possible by 2090 under current policy path; major risks include food system collapse, uninsurability, and mass migration[1].

  • Acceleration of food insecurity and water shortages; annual mortality and displacement rising
  • “Green Swan” events (rapid, compounded risk convergence) projected to increase through mid-century
Source: IFoA, World Economic Forum Global Risks[1][5][15]
Updated July 2025.
All data from academic/official reporting bodies.

Physical and Transition Risks Dashboard (July 2025)