Deep-Sea Polymetallic Nodules: Resources, Risks, and Controversies

Polymetallic nodules, found across the abyssal plains of the ocean floor, are rich in critical minerals but pose major environmental, legal, and economic challenges.
Data: ISA, Nature, Metals Co., MDPI, GEOMAR, SETAC, DeepSeaMining.ac (2025)
Key Metals
Mn, Ni, Co, Cu
Manganese, Nickel, Cobalt, Copper[2][3][5][6]
Major Region
CCZ
Clarion-Clipperton Zone (Pacific)[1][2][3][4]
Potential Cobalt Supply
20%+
of global demand if commercialized[3]
Nodule Growth Rate
2-10 mm/Myr
2-5 mm/Myr (hydrogenetic), 10 mm/Myr (diagenetic)[2][4]
Estimated Value
$233T
Total global nodule value (gross)[3]
Average Metal Content of CCZ Nodules (wt%)
Nodules: ~27-30% Mn, 1.25–1.5% Ni, 1-1.4% Cu, 0.2-0.25% Co[2][3][5][6]
Projected Global Supply Share if Commercialized
Nodules could supply 20%+ cobalt, 10%+ nickel, plus significant Mn and Cu[3]
Key Deep-Sea Nodule Regions
Most nodule resources are in the Pacific (CCZ, Peru Basin), Indian Ocean[1][2][3][4]
Environmental and Social Risk Matrix
RiskSeverityScientific Certainty
Ecosystem DisruptionVery HighLow-Medium
Carbon Cycle ImpactMedium-HighLow
Species LossHighLow
Regulatory GapsHighMedium
Geopolitical TensionMediumHigh
Risks rated by severity and certainty (ISA, Nature, GEOMAR, SETAC)[1][6][7][8]
Global Policy Stance (2025)
Moratorium/support/neutral by country (est.)
Legal, Market, and Scientific Context
AspectCurrent StatusKey Details
International GovernanceISAInternational Seabed Authority regulates mining beyond national EEZs[1]
National PolicyFragmentedNorway, Cook Islands moving to approve; France, Germany, Pacific Island states support moratorium[1][3]
Market ReadinessUnprovenCommercial-scale economics remain uncertain; land mining interests may resist[3]
Scientific BaselineIncompleteDeep-sea biodiversity, recovery rates, and carbon impacts not fully understood[7][8]
[1] ISA, [3] Metals Co., [4] DeepSeaMining.ac, [5] MDPI, [6] GEOMAR, [7] Nature, [8] SETAC (2025)
All values are latest available estimates; scientific uncertainty remains high.

Deep-Sea Polymetallic Nodules