Vanadium: Steel, Energy Storage, and Supply Chain Risks (2025)

Vanadium is critical for high-strength steel and grid-scale batteries, but its supply chain is highly concentrated and exposed to environmental, market, and geopolitical risks.
Data: USGS, Statista, ResearchAndMarkets, Fortune Business Insights, Nasdaq, World Steel Association (2025)
Key Uses
Steel, VRFBs, Catalysts
High-strength steel, grid batteries, chemicals[1][2][3][4][5]
Top Producer
China
~78,000 t (2022), 60%+ global share[1][4][5]
VRFB Demand Growth
10× by 2040
Grid storage drives long-term demand[2][3][6]
2025 Market Size
$3.6B
Expected to reach $4.9B by 2032[8]
Steel Sector Share
~90%
Main driver of demand[4][5][7]
Price Volatility
High
Thin market, supply shocks, policy risk[4][5][6]
Global Vanadium Production by Country (2022)
China, Russia, South Africa, Brazil, Other[1][4][5]
Vanadium Use by Sector (2024)
Steel: 90%, VRFBs: 5%, Catalysts: 3%, Other: 2%[4][5][7]
VRFB Demand Growth (2020–2040, indexed)
VRFB sector could drive 10× demand growth by 2040[2][3][6]
Environmental & Social Risk Matrix
RiskSeverityCertainty
Toxic Mining WasteHighHigh
Energy-Intensive ProcessingHighHigh
Worker/Community HealthMedium–HighMedium
Supply Chain FragilityHighHigh
Price VolatilityHighHigh
Limited RecyclingMediumMedium
Risks rated by severity and certainty (USGS, Statista, Nasdaq, F.B.I.)[1][2][3][4][5][6][8]
Vanadium Price Trend (V₂O₅, USD/lb)
2023: $7.50/lb, 2024: $5.45/lb (China avg.)[4]
Production Method Share (2024, est.)
By-product (steel slag): 70%, Primary mining: 20%, Recycled: 10%[4][5][7]
Market, Geopolitical, and Environmental Context
AspectStatusKey Details
Supply Chain ChokepointChina, Russia, South Africa85%+ of global mine supply[1][2][4][5]
Environmental CriticismSevereToxic waste, energy use, health risks[1][4][5][8]
VRFB GrowthAcceleratingGrid storage, 10× demand by 2040[2][3][6]
Price VolatilityHighThin market, supply shocks, trade barriers[4][5][6]
Recycling InnovationEarlyBattery-grade recycling infrastructure limited[4][5][8]
[1] USGS, [2] ResearchAndMarkets, [3] Business Research Insights, [4] Statista, [5] Fortune Business Insights, [6] Nasdaq, [7] MC Group, [8] World Steel Association (2025)
All values are latest available estimates; supply chain and ESG risks remain high.

Vanadium