Zinc: Corrosion Protection, Renewables, and Market Risks (2025)

Zinc is vital for galvanizing steel in construction, energy, and renewables, but its supply chain and environmental impacts present key risks for the energy transition.
Data: IZA, ILZSG, Statista, Reuters, CRU Group, INN, Global Growth Insights (2025)
Key Uses
Galvanizing, Renewables, Batteries
Steel, wind, solar, towers, zinc-air[1][2][3][4]
Top Producer
China
~33% of global mine supply[1][2][3]
2025 Price Forecast
$3,400/t
Tight stocks, supply constraints[2][4][5]
Demand Growth
+1–2.5%/yr
Renewables, grid, steady construction[1][2][3][8]
Battery Market Share
5% (2025)
Zinc-ion batteries rising to 20% by 2030[1]
Environmental Impact
High
Tailings, SO₂ emissions, water risk[1][2][3][4][5]
Global Zinc Production by Country (2024)
China, Peru, Australia, India, US, Mexico, Bolivia, Other[1][2][3]
Zinc Use by Sector (2024)
Galvanizing: 55%, Brass: 17%, Chemicals: 11%, Batteries: 5%, Other[1][2][3][4]
Zinc Demand for Renewables (2020–2030, kt)
Renewables zinc demand triples by 2030[1]
Environmental & Social Risk Matrix
RiskSeverityCertainty
Mining Waste/TailingsHighHigh
SO₂/Air PollutionHighHigh
Water ContaminationHighHigh
Price VolatilityMedium-HighHigh
Supply DisruptionMedium-HighMedium
Risks rated by severity and certainty (IZA, ILZSG, Reuters)[1][2][4][5][6]
Zinc Market Value (USD Million, 2025-2033)
2025: $54B, 2033: $131B, CAGR: 11.6%[7][8]
Zinc Price Trend (USD/tonne, 2024-2025)
2024 avg: $2,700/t, 2025 forecast: $3,400/t[2][5][6]
Market, Geopolitical, and Environmental Context
AspectStatusKey Details
Supply Chain ChokepointChina, Peru, AustraliaTop mine and smelter capacity, Asia dominant[1][2][3]
Environmental CriticismSevereMining waste, SO₂, water/soil pollution[1][2][4][5]
Renewables DemandRisingZinc in wind, solar, batteries surging[1][2][3]
Price VolatilityPersistentStocks at 5 days, tight supply, macro shocks[2][4][5][6]
New Mining ProjectsExpandingKipushi (DRC), Ozernoye (Russia), Antamina (Peru)[2][3][5]
[1] IZA, [2] ILZSG, [3] Statista, [4] Reuters, [5] CRU Group, [6] INN, [7] Global Growth Insights, [8] LinkedIn/Market Research (2025)
All values are latest available estimates; supply chain and ESG risks remain high.

Zinc