Systemic Risk and Cross-Boundary Dynamics Dashboard

Visualizing feedback loops, tipping elements, and risk amplification in the planetary boundaries framework. Updated May 2025.
Data: Potsdam Institute, Stockholm Resilience Centre, IMF, Nature Geoscience, 2025
Earth System Feedback Network (2025)
Climate Biosphere Land Freshwater Oceans Biogeochem Aerosols Novel Ozone
Hover or tap a node for scientific detail.
Risk Amplification: Sectoral vs Systemic
Agriculture
Pollinator collapse, yield volatility
Biosphere and land change amplify food security risk
Energy
Hydro, PV disruption
Climate and aerosols raise costs, disrupt supply
Insurance
+40% marine underwriting cost
Ocean acidification and climate volatility
Sovereign Bonds
Fisheries, water, ag
Boundary breaches affect ratings and risk premiums
Boundary Feedbacks and Tipping Elements
Boundary
Key Feedback
Tipping Element
Amplification Risk
Climate change Permafrost thaw releases methane, amplifying warming and destabilizing other boundaries.
Permafrost thaw, AMOC slowdown
Greenland Ice Sheet, AMOC
High: triggers biosphere, land, freshwater collapse
Biosphere integrity Deforestation, pollinator loss, and extinction reduce carbon sinks and food security.
Deforestation, pollinator loss
Amazon Rainforest, coral reefs
High: amplifies climate and food risk
Biogeochemical flows Phosphorus runoff causes marine hypoxia, reducing ocean carbon drawdown.
Nitrogen, phosphorus runoff
Coastal dead zones
Medium: amplifies biosphere and ocean risk
Land-system change Forest loss reduces evapotranspiration, intensifies droughts, and amplifies climate feedbacks.
Deforestation, fragmentation
Amazon, boreal forests
Medium: amplifies climate, freshwater risk
Freshwater use Droughts and overuse destabilize food systems and biosphere resilience.
Drought, overuse
Monsoons, aquifers
Medium: amplifies food, biosphere risk
Ocean acidification Acidification destabilizes coral reefs and fisheries, affecting food and insurance markets.
Coral reef collapse
Coral reefs
Medium: amplifies food, insurance risk
Atmospheric aerosols Aerosols disrupt monsoons, threaten agriculture and water security in populated regions.
Monsoon disruption
Asian monsoon
Medium: amplifies water, ag risk
Novel entities PFAS, plastics, and chemicals disrupt biosphere and marine systems, with unknown tipping points.
PFAS, plastics, chemicals
Unknown
Emerging: amplifies biosphere, ocean risk
Stratospheric ozone Ozone depletion risk is currently managed, but remains sensitive to chemical releases.
Ozone depletion
Polar vortex
Low: currently stable
Hover for scientific feedbacks.
Red: high; Yellow: medium; Green: low amplification risk[1].

Systemic Risk and Cross-Boundary Dynamics